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Why this Premier League title race could be the most thrilling in YEARS: Liverpool, Man City and Arsenal still have to face each other, while United and Spurs could have a huge say… so who do we predict will lift the trophy?

  • Three-way Premier League title race has the potential to go down to the wire 
  • Liverpool, Man City and Arsenal all face tough assignments during the run-in 
  • DOMINIC KING: Liverpool have 13 games left, but they will have to win 12 to clinch the league – Listen to the It’s All Kicking Off podcast 

The Premier League title race looks poised to be the most exciting for years.

Liverpool, Manchester City and Arsenal are locked together in a battle that could easily go all the way to the wire on May 19.

Jurgen Klopp‘s team will be desperate to win the title for their German boss and Wednesday night’s 4-1 win over Luton Town has put them four points clear at the summit.

But Pep Guardiola‘s City undoubtedly have the title-winning nous having claimed the last three championships and five of the last six.

They picked up vital win over Brentford on Tuesday to keep up their momentum and are unbeaten in 10 league games now, winning eight of them.

Manchester City won their third Premier League title in a row last season but they look destined to be taken right to the wire by Liverpool and Arsenal this time around

Manchester City won their third Premier League title in a row last season but they look destined to be taken right to the wire by Liverpool and Arsenal this time around

Liverpool want to give Jurgen Klopp the perfect send-off by winning his second league title

Liverpool want to give Jurgen Klopp the perfect send-off by winning his second league title 

Arsenal also have their sights on the championship after throwing the title away last season

Arsenal also have their sights on the championship after throwing the title away last season

Mikel Arteta‘s Arsenal, chastened by their collapse from a great position last season, are doing everything they can as well, with five straight league wins.

So as we enter the home straight, which of the trio has the most straightforward run-in? We map out how the title race could unfold from here week-by-week.

Title run-ins 

LIVERPOOL

March 2 Nottingham Forest (A)

March 10 Man City (H)

March 17 Everton (A)

March 31 Brighton (H)

April 3 Sheffield United (H)

Dates subject to change after this point

April 6 Manchester United (A)

April 13 Crystal Palace (H)

April 20 Fulham (A)

April 27 West Ham (A)

May 4 Tottenham (H)

May 11 Aston Villa (A)

May 19 Wolves (H)

MAN CITY

Saturday Bournemouth (A)

March 3 Man United (H)

March 10 Liverpool (A)

March 17 Brighton (A)

March 31 Arsenal (H)

April 3 Aston Villa (H)

Dates subject to change after this point

April 6 Crystal Palace (A)

April 13 Luton Town (H)

April 20 Tottenham (A)

April 27 Nottingham Forest (A)

May 4 Wolves (H)

May 11 Fulham (A)

May 19 West Ham (H)

ARSENAL

Saturday Newcastle (H)

March 4 Sheffield United (A)

March 9 Brentford (H)

March 16 Chelsea (H)

March 31 Man City (A)

April 2 Luton Town (H)

Dates subject to change after this point

April 6 Brighton (A)

April 13 Aston Villa (H)

April 20 Wolves (A)

April 27 Tottenham (A)

May 4 Bournemouth (H)

May 11 Man United (A)

May 19 Everton (H)

 

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THE CURRENT SITUATION

1. Liverpool 60pts; 2. Manchester City 56pts; 3. Arsenal 55pts

THIS WEEKEND

Liverpool are preoccupied with the Carabao Cup final against Chelsea this Sunday but can rest easy because they’ve already played – and won – their fixture with Luton.

Their title rivals play back-to-back on Saturday night – City’s excellent form and strength should ensure they get three points away at a Bournemouth side who haven’t tasted league success since Boxing Day. (Prediction – City win).

Arsenal then host Newcastle at 8pm and will need to respond. But facing Newcastle isn’t the daunting prospect it was last season and you’d imagine the Gunners will prove too strong given their recent good results. (Prediction – Arsenal win).

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 60pts; 2. Man City 59pts; 3. Arsenal 58pts.

Erling Haaland kept City on track by scoring the decisive goal against Brentford on Tuesday

Erling Haaland kept City on track by scoring the decisive goal against Brentford on Tuesday 

MARCH 2-4

Liverpool and City are in midweek FA Cup fifth round action ahead of March’s first set of fixtures.

Klopp’s side are first up as they visit Nottingham Forest on the Saturday afternoon. Forest are in the relegation dogfight and it’s difficult to imagine them causing Liverpool too many issues. (Prediction – Liverpool win).

City have the weekend’s toughest assignment, a derby with Manchester United. Although they have home advantage, Erik ten Hag’s side have picked up of late and might nick a point. (Prediction – Draw).

If that happens, Arsenal will have the chance to leapfrog them into second when they play Sheffield United on the Monday night. Given the rock-bottom Blades have conceded five times in each of their last three home games, it should be a chance for Arsenal to boost their goal difference. (Prediction – Arsenal win).

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 63pts; 2. Arsenal 61pts; 3. Man City 60pts.

City won 3-0 at Old Trafford when they met United in the Manchester derby in October - but their rematch at the Etihad early next month could be a different story

City won 3-0 at Old Trafford when they met United in the Manchester derby in October – but their rematch at the Etihad early next month could be a different story

MARCH 9-10

Both City and Liverpool will be in midweek European action ahead of their mammoth clash at Anfield on the Sunday afternoon.

But prior to that, Arsenal play at home to Brentford in the Saturday teatime slot. Thomas Frank’s side have struggled a bit this season and you can’t imagine anything other than a home win, which would send the Gunners top. (Prediction – Arsenal win).

And so to this most super of Super Sundays. Of course, there will still be 10 games left to play after it but it’s a great chance to put down a title marker. My prediction is a draw and move on. (Prediction – Draw).

It would leave Liverpool and Arsenal level on 64 points, so it is dependent on goal difference changes in the meantime. Arsenal do have the better opportunities to boost theirs.

Predicted table: 1. Arsenal 64pts; 2. Liverpool 64pts; 3. Man City 61pts.

Mohamed Salah is challenged by Nathan Ake during the 1-1 draw between City and Liverpool back on November 25

Mohamed Salah is challenged by Nathan Ake during the 1-1 draw between City and Liverpool back on November 25

MARCH 16-17

The final weekend of Premier League action before the international break. Arsenal and Liverpool will have European fixtures in the lead-up.

The Gunners host Chelsea in a London derby on the Saturday lunchtime. What once would have been one of the trickiest fixtures of their season now sees them strong favourites to take all three points against a stubbornly inconsistent opposition. (Prediction – Arsenal win).

Their rivals have the chance to respond on the Sunday. Liverpool face a Merseyside derby against an Everton team scrapping for their survival, which could well see them drop a couple of points (Prediction – Draw).

City are then at Brighton later in the afternoon. While a ding-dong contest with Roberto De Zerbi’s men should prove an entertaining spectacle for the neutral, an open game will favour City (Prediction – City win).

Predicted table: 1. Arsenal 67pts; 2. Liverpool 65pts; 3. Man City 64pts.

Mohamed Salah slots home a penalty in Liverpool's Merseyside derby win over Everton

Mohamed Salah slots home a penalty in Liverpool’s Merseyside derby win over Everton

MARCH 31

All three sides will hope to get their players through the internationals unscathed and battle will be rejoined in the Premier League on the final day of March.

Liverpool go first, at home to Brighton, and it’s difficult to see any other outcome than three more points for Klopp’s men given the home advantage. That will take them back to the top. (Prediction – Liverpool win).

That’s followed by another title blockbuster as Man City host Arsenal at the Etihad. While Arsenal are made of sterner stuff these days, this has always been a fixture where they’ve struggled and City could well have too much in a huge boost to their title chances (Prediction – City win).

It could be seriously tight at the top as we enter April!

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 68pts; 2. Arsenal 67pts; 3. Man City 67pts.

Arsenal achieved what felt like a landmark result when they beat Man City 1-0 in October

Arsenal achieved what felt like a landmark result when they beat Man City 1-0 in October

APRIL 2-3

April begins with a midweek round of Premier League games, with all three title contenders at home.

Arsenal host Luton on the Tuesday evening and there should be only one winner there (Prediction – Arsenal win) and likewise when Liverpool host Sheffield United 24 hours later (Prediction – Liverpool win).

That will pile the pressure on City to get three points against Aston Villa, a game being played simultaneously with Liverpool’s.

While Guardiola’s men undoubtedly have the toughest assignment of the three, Villa have been slipping back and they should get all three points to ensure it’s as you were at the top. (Prediction – City win).

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 71pts; 2. Arsenal 70pts; 3. Man City 70pts.

APRIL 6-7

The precise timings of the games beyond this point haven’t yet been determined, so it’s impossible to say who’ll be playing first and who has the pressure of following.

But this weekend sees Arsenal make the trip to Brighton and, without being unkind, it is precisely the type of fixture which could see them drop a couple of points under pressure (Prediction – draw).

City are away at Crystal Palace and that doesn’t have the look of a fixture that will cause them too many issues (Prediction – City win).

The most intriguing fixture that weekend is Liverpool’s trip to bitter rivals Man United, however.

It’s a big test they’ll have to pass in order to go all the way. My prediction is a draw, meaning City end that weekend on top. (Prediction – draw).

Predicted table: 1. Man City 73pts; 2. Liverpool 72pts; 3. Arsenal 71pts.

Liverpool and Man United couldn't be separated at Anfield in December's goalless draw

Liverpool and Man United couldn’t be separated at Anfield in December’s goalless draw

APRIL 13-14

Mid-April and all our contenders will hope these games are sandwiched between European quarter-finals in their respective competitions.

Arsenal play at home to Aston Villa, which will present a challenge but should be an opportunity to get back to winning ways (Prediction – Arsenal win).

Liverpool host Crystal Palace and City are up against Luton at the Etihad with both those games surely in the three-point banker category (Predictions – Liverpool and City wins).

Predicted table: 1. Man City 76pts; 2. Liverpool 75pts; 3. Arsenal 74pts.

APRIL 20-21

The penultimate round of games in April sees Liverpool on the road at Fulham, the side they overcame in the Carabao Cup semi-finals and should do again (Prediction – Liverpool win).

Arsenal, meanwhile, make the trip to Molineux to play Wolves. A tricky assignment but you can see them coming back with the points (Prediction – Arsenal win).

City, however, will be going to Tottenham, a side who may have plenty to play for in the race for Champions League qualification. You can see City coming unstuck and only drawing in a fresh twist to the title race. (Prediction – draw)

NB This is the scheduled FA Cup semi-final weekend, so Liverpool and City may have to play their games at some other points if they’re still preoccupied with that.

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 78pts; 2. Man City 77pts; 3. Arsenal 77pts.

There was huge controversy when City and Tottenham shared six goals at the Etihad

There was huge controversy when City and Tottenham shared six goals at the Etihad 

APRIL 27-28

April will end with Arsenal involved in a titanic North London derby away to Tottenham. It’s bound to be a tense affair, especially if Spurs still have the top four in their sights, and you can see it ending honours even (Prediction – Draw).

That’ll present an opportunity for City and Liverpool to pull clear of the Gunners a little bit.

City are away at Nottingham Forest while Liverpool go to West Ham, with both heavily fancied to win (Predictions – City and Liverpool wins).

Even if that happens, it would be pretty foolish to rule Arsenal out the race entirely.

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 81pts; 2. Man City 80pts; 3. Arsenal 78pts.

Arsenal celebrate Bukayo Saka's goal in their 2-2 draw with Tottenham back in September

Arsenal celebrate Bukayo Saka’s goal in their 2-2 draw with Tottenham back in September 

MAY 4-5

There will be just three rounds of games left once May arrives and it’s possible all three teams will still have a good shout of lifting the trophy.

The first weekend sees Arsenal entertain Bournemouth, which should be a straightforward three points even if they’re still preoccupied by the Champions League (Prediction – Arsenal win).

City have a home match against Wolves, which again should deliver them maximum spoils (Prediction – City win).

Liverpool have the hardest game that weekend – at home to Tottenham – but should be able to overcome the hurdle. (Prediction – Liverpool win)

Predicted table: 1. Liverpool 84pts; 2. Man City 83pts; 3. Arsenal 81pts.

MAY 11-12

The penultimate weekend of the season and all three should be still in it.

In what could be a pivotal moment, Liverpool visit Aston Villa, who may still be fighting to get into next season’s Champions League. It’s unquestionably a tough game on paper – will Klopp’s men come unstuck? (Prediction – draw).

City are heading to Craven Cottage and you can see them overpowering Fulham to take command in the title race (Prediction – City win).

Arsenal have to go to Old Trafford. In the past this could well have been a title-decider and United could be in the unenviable position of ending Arsenal’s title chances and handing it to one of their two bitter rivals (Prediction – Draw).

Predicted table: 1. Man City 86pts; 2. Liverpool 85pts; 3. Arsenal 82pts.

Arsenal got the better of Man United in September and may need to win the rematch as well

Arsenal got the better of Man United in September and may need to win the rematch as well

MAY 19

So to the final day, when all 10 top-flight matches will take place simultaneously.

Our prediction has Arsenal unable to pinch the title on the final day but they should conclude the season with victory over Everton at the Emirates (Prediction – Arsenal win).

Both Liverpool and City have home games – the Reds host Wolves at Anfield and you’d imagine they will get all three points from that to keep hopes alive (Prediction – Liverpool win).

So that would mean City need to beat West Ham at the Etihad to make it four titles in a row. Barring some extraordinary circumstances, you can see them doing just that (Prediction – City win).

It means they’d finish a point clear of Liverpool in the final reckoning and continue their Premier League dominance.

But of course, with so many potential twists and turns yet to come, you can make a strong case for all three title contenders being on top come 6pm on May 19.

Predicted final table: 1. Man City 89pts; 2. Liverpool 88pts; 3. Arsenal 85pts.

Will Pep Guardiola get his hands on the Premier League trophy once again on May 19?

Will Pep Guardiola get his hands on the Premier League trophy once again on May 19?


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